Friday, August 8, 2008

COMPRESSED NATURAL GAS: THE NEED MANDATING GREEN POLICIES AND ECONOMICS INVOLVED

An article by Dr. U. D. Choubey
http://www.gailonline.com

Despite being an agricultural State, India doesn’t have adequate infrastructure to store perishable eatables. The idea of CNG corridor also gives birth to the possibility of setting up of Cold Storages along the Corridors. In fact CNG Corridors are a reality in foreign Countries and with suitable technology collaboration it can be taken forward in India as well.

Further, it can enable large scale conversion of vehicles to CNG leading to a huge savings in the petroleum import bill thereby saving precious Foreign exchange. Crude Oil prices have zipped past $135/bbl stoking fears of a global recession and stimulating high inflation. Under such a scenario, CNG Corridors can provide considerable relief and advantage to the policy makers in reducing to a considerable extent increased dependence on import of Crude and evolve suitable policy on this increasingly serious issue.

CNG corridors can enable large scale substitution of petrol and diesel run commercial and personal vehicles through an extensive distribution and dispensing infrastructure.

Such pipeline infrastructure of around 10,000 Kms is already available and needs slight modifications to enable CNG dispensing through CNG retail outlets.

Proposed development of Gas Grids and upcoming additional pipeline infrastructure across the country in the next few years could totally provide almost 20,000KM of trunk pipeline which will enable supply of CNG to a large number of vehicles plying particularly on the highways along/near the proposed pipeline routes. Presently, we are consuming around 9 MMTPA of Petrol and 24 MMTPA of Diesel in Transport sector. 100% replacement of the same by CNG would require about 100 MMSCMD of gas. Every 10 MMSCMD of gas as replacement in Transport sector would save 2.9 MMTPA of crude oil. It is estimated that even if 25% of the bus, truck, car and three-wheeler population on the roads is converted to CNG, a saving of almost Rs 20,000 Crores per annum can be expected. This will be lighter on the user’s pocket as well. Significantly, if entire fleet of bus, truck, car and 3-wheeler population is converted on CNG, the expected savings could offset the entire under-recoveries incurred by Oil Marketing Companies in 2007-08.

A mandated policy for replacement of Petrol and Diesel vehicles to CNG will not only save precious forex outgo but also prevent harmful CO2 emissions while earning Carbon Credits for the country. This way it is expected to enhance Energy Security by reducing import dependence on supplies of Crude Oil and its price volatility, thereby resulting into a major positive impact on the economy.

CNG Economics in transport Sector

Relative economics indicate that CNG Corridors can provide a great boost on supply/distribution side in the value chain while capitalising upon the economic advantages of CNG over competing vehicle fuels.

On an energy-equivalent basis, natural gas costs considerably lower than LPG, gasoline and diesel. At the prevailing prices of various fuels in Delhi, the economics of running a CNG vehicle vis-à-vis its operation on petrol / diesel in terms of Rupees/Kilometre expenditure is quite attractive. CNG offers average savings ranging from 0.91 Rs/Km for a three-wheeler to Rs 4.5/Km for Bus as compared to Petrol/Diesel operation. On an average, CNG is price-competitive to the extent of 30-35% than diesel and about 70% cheaper than Petrol. It is, therefore, more sustainable from the point of view of security of supply also.

Apart from direct cost benefit in running cost, CNG is a clean-burning fuel that reduces vehicle maintenance such as extended interval of oil change and standard spark plugs last longer. Yet another interesting advantage is that CNG cannot be siphoned-off from a vehicle, unlike liquid fuels where fuel theft is an on-going concern of commercial operators.

GHG Emissions and Local Air Pollution:

Unrestrained use of petroleum fuels in the transport sector also results in air-pollution and GHG emissions which are very harmful to the health of local population apart from causing climate warming. In large cities, the transport share of air pollution is upto 60 – 80% of toxic atmospheric emissions. Transport sector alone is responsible for more than 13% of the Greenhouse gas emissions worldwide.

Exhaust emissions from CNG vehicles are much lower than those from petrol/diesel powered vehicles. It is the cleanest burning alternative transportation fuel available today. Emissions of carbon monoxide with CNG are approximately 79% lower than Diesel and 96% lower than Petrol, NOX emissions are 67% and 79% lower than Petrol and Diesel respectively and there is more than 98% reduction in SOX emissions than both Petrol and Diesel. In addition to these reductions in pollutants, CNG also emits significantly lower amounts of greenhouse gases and toxins than do petrol vehicles. Reduction of pollution level in the city of Delhi (and Mumbai) has been an eye opener once CNG in transport sector was introduced.

Safety:

Natural gas is one of the safest transport fuels available. There are two fundamental reasons for a CNG vehicle’s safety record: structural integrity of the CNG vehicle fuel system and physical qualities of natural gas as a fuel. CNG is safe, lighter than air and does not cloud on the ground like liquid fuels. Unlike gasoline, it dissipates into the atmosphere in the event of an accident. Petrol pools/accumulates on the ground which creates a fire hazard.

Consensus of Stakeholders and Mandate by Authorities
Involvement and participation of the stakeholders plays a major role for the successful implementation of any project. A partnership based model between the State Governments, Public and Private enterprises is essential for growing CNG usage through CNG Corridors in India. The role of vehicle and CNG kit manufacturers is of utmost importance in the implementation of CNG project.

We have a successful example right in Delhi. The dedicated effort of bus/three-wheeler manufacturers to supply CNG vehicles to replace entire public transport fleet in Delhi in the short time span and commitment displayed by all stakeholders for the project implementation earned the Clean City Partnership award from US Energy department for Delhi in year 2003.

With promising upstream scenario and upcoming natural gas pipeline grid in the country, CNG Corridors can play a key role in meeting the growing needs of transport sector while providing significant reduction in import of crude and of course health benefits through reduced pollution.
As this is a new approach and CNG is different from conventional fuels, it would require thrust from the stakeholders and public awareness at large to make it popular and user friendly. A marshalling mandate from the authorities and consensus of all stakeholders would be key to success of CNG Corridors on a large scale as witnessed during the implementation of the Delhi CNG project.

CNG HIGHWAYS - A BETTER LONG TERM ANSWER TO THE OIL PRICE UNCERTAINTIES

Dr. U. D. Choubey
C&MD, GAIL (India) Limited
http://www.gailonline.com

So the World Oil price has finally impacted on us also. This was perhaps inevitable. It was just a matter of when and how much. However, this is not a discussion on the merits or demerits of the Oil price. But on how to minimize and mitigate the impact on the Hydrocarbon Sector and to highlight the need for reducing criticality of dependence on oil imports.

The recent trends in domestic Exploration and Production have shown a marked increased in Gas discovery over oil. Naturally, one priority which recommends itself is to therefore try and maximize the replacements of oil to the extent possible by Gas.

This is especially important when Economic progress combined with envisaged GDP growth rate has resulted in a gradual economic transformation in the industrial and service sectors in India. Raising prosperity in Urban India and increased economic activity is leading to a manifold increase in energy demand which has been increasing at an average rate of 4.5 % annually for the last ten years.

The Oil and Gas sector meets around 45% of this demand for energy. However, our self-sufficiency in meeting oil and gas demand is just about 25%. Imports of Crude Oil accounted for almost 30% of India’s import bill in 2006-07. Total consumption of Crude in India is around 146 Million Tonnes, 45% of which is produced as Petrol and Diesel out of which over 60% is consumed in the transport sector alone.

The transport sector is a major contributor to rising demand for petroleum fuels. There has been a rapid increase in the volume of motor vehicle traffic throughout the Country. From 1990-91 to 2001-02, the population of two-wheelers and Cars rose by about three times and two-and-half times respectively. Numbers of trucks have gone up by 1.5 times. Reflecting this trend, Petrol and Diesel consumption in the country grew by 7.5% and 6.7% respectively last year. In view of the rising crude prices in the global economy, it has become very difficult to affordably meet the rising demand for these fuels.

CNG: A Practical Alternative

A feasible alternative to petroleum fuels for use in vehicles is offered by Compressed Natural Gas (CNG). CNG is a source of mobile-energy which can be easily supplied on a mass scale at affordable prices. Due to its inherent clean properties, the substitution of Petrol & Diesel by CNG is advantageous in not only enhancing energy security but also in cutting harmful GHG emissions.

Vehicles running on CNG have found widespread acceptance worldwide. The average annual growth in natural gas vehicles (NGVs) since 2000 has been more than 30% worldwide while that in Asia has been more than 50% per annum. One in every four vehicles in Bangladesh and Pakistan is an NGV. Iran and Argentina are also fast catching up.

The technology to employ CNG on a large scale has matured and is widely commercialized. Natural gas vehicles are ready to operate with slight modifications in the engine and fuel storage tank and on the same basic principles as gasoline-powered vehicles. In fact, Delhi as a metropolitan city already has the world’s largest fleet of CNG driven buses in the world.

With judicial mandate and government’s support, GAIL initiated steps in 1992 to set up pilot projects for CNG system for the automobile industry in the cities of Delhi, Mumbai and Vadodara. This established CNG as a commercially and technically viable fuel for the transport sector. The two retail projects in Mumbai and Delhi incorporated way backin 1995 and 1998 respectively have been successful examples of a Government-Public-Private partnership model in the larger socio-economic interest.

CNG Corridors: Supply Security & Expansion in CNG Usage

Till date, however, City Gas Projects in the country have been conceptualized in a manner that they have remained confined to the limits of Municipal Boundary of few cities.

* In this article, Dr. Choubey makes a forceful plea for use of CNG for long distance and Highway traffic to reduce the impact of high and uncertain prices.

This has put a cap on the usage of CNG in the transport sector because of lack of distribution infrastructure and limited availability through dispensing centres. Due to this reason, it has prevented the plying of CNG vehicles on the highways connecting them if the distance is more than 150 KMs. To overcome this limitation and enhance the usage of CNG, it is important to create CNG Corridors along highways across the country to ensure availability of CNG to personal and commercial vehicles plying on them.

Such CNG Corridors will develop much needed user confidence in CNG’s reliability, availability and affordability.

From a social perspective, implementation of CNG Corridor project would not only lead to enhanced development of infrastructure along the corridors, but would also expand the gas market, improve the health and living conditions of the populations and create new economic and employment opportunities. Over a period of time, it could also spread into cities and towns as well as promote industries along such Corridors. CNG being a cheaper fuel might make the industry along the corridor more cost effective.

Such Corridors will not only boost passenger vehicles to switch over to CNG but also incentivize heavy vehicles such as LCVs, HCVs, Lorries etc towards CNG. In this way, it could make a major contribution towards reduction in vehicular pollution.